Scientists have a lot of questions about our planet's most important carbon sink--and a new project could help answer them. NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 16: Eric Schmidt, former chairman and CEO at GOOGLE visits Fox Business Network Studios on April 16, 2019 in New York City. A foundation created by Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, will fund a project to send drone boats out into the rough ocean around Antarctica to collect data that could help solve a crucial climate puzzle. The project is part of a suite of funding announced today from Schmidt Sciences, which Schmidt and his wife Wendy created to focus on projects tackling research into the global carbon cycle. It will spend $45 million over the next five years to fund these projects, which includes the Antarctic research.

Accurately estimating forest biomass is crucial for global carbon cycle modelling and climate change mitigation. Tree height, a key factor in biomass calculations, can be measured using Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) technology. This study applies machine learning to extract forest height data from two SAR products: Single Look Complex (SLC) images and tomographic cubes, in preparation for the ESA Biomass Satellite mission. We use the TomoSense dataset, containing SAR and LiDAR data from Germany's Eifel National Park, to develop and evaluate height estimation models. Our approach includes classical methods, deep learning with a 3D U-Net, and Bayesian-optimized techniques. By testing various SAR frequencies and polarimetries, we establish a baseline for future height and biomass modelling. Best-performing models predict forest height to be within 2.82m mean absolute error for canopies around 30m, advancing our ability to measure global carbon stocks and support climate action.

Regular patterns of vegetation are considered widespread landscapes, although their global extent has never been estimated. Among them, spotted landscapes are of particular interest in the context of climate change. Indeed, regularly spaced vegetation spots in semi-arid shrublands result from extreme resource depletion and prefigure catastrophic shift of the ecosystem to a homogeneous desert, while termite mounds also producing spotted landscapes were shown to increase robustness to climate change. Yet, their identification at large scale calls for automatic methods, for instance using the popular deep learning framework, able to cope with a vast amount of remote sensing data, e.g., optical satellite imagery. In this paper, we tackle this problem and benchmark some state-of-the-art deep networks on several landscapes and geographical areas. Despite the promising results we obtained, we found that more research is needed to be able to map automatically these earth mounds from space.

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models often underperform compared to simpler climatology-based precipitation forecasts in northern tropical Africa, even after statistical postprocessing. AI-based forecasting models show promise but have avoided precipitation due to its complexity. Synoptic-scale forcings like African easterly waves and other tropical waves (TWs) are important for predictability in tropical Africa, yet their value for predicting daily rainfall remains unexplored. This study uses two machine-learning models--gamma regression and a convolutional neural network (CNN)--trained on TW predictors from satellite-based GPM IMERG data to predict daily rainfall during the July-September monsoon season. Predictor variables are derived from the local amplitude and phase information of seven TW from the target and up-and-downstream neighboring grids at 1-degree spatial resolution. The ML models are combined with Easy Uncertainty Quantification (EasyUQ) to generate calibrated probabilistic forecasts and are compared with three benchmarks: Extended Probabilistic Climatology (EPC15), ECMWF operational ensemble forecast (ENS), and a probabilistic forecast from the ENS control member using EasyUQ (CTRL EasyUQ). The study finds that downstream predictor variables offer the highest predictability, with downstream tropical depression (TD)-type wave-based predictors being most important. Other waves like mixed-Rossby gravity (MRG), Kelvin, and inertio-gravity waves also contribute significantly but show regional preferences. ENS forecasts exhibit poor skill due to miscalibration. CTRL EasyUQ shows improvement over ENS and marginal enhancement over EPC15. Both gamma regression and CNN forecasts significantly outperform benchmarks in tropical Africa. This study highlights the potential of ML models trained on TW-based predictors to improve daily precipitation forecasts in tropical Africa.

We propose a framework for global-scale canopy height estimation based on satellite data. Our model leverages advanced data preprocessing techniques, resorts to a novel loss function designed to counter geolocation inaccuracies inherent in the ground-truth height measurements, and employs data from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission to effectively filter out erroneous labels in mountainous regions, enhancing the reliability of our predictions in those areas. A comparison between predictions and ground-truth labels yields an MAE / RMSE of 2.43 / 4.73 (meters) overall and 4.45 / 6.72 (meters) for trees taller than five meters, which depicts a substantial improvement compared to existing global-scale maps. The resulting height map as well as the underlying framework will facilitate and enhance ecological analyses at a global scale, including, but not limited to, large-scale forest and biomass monitoring.

Current optical vegetation indices (VIs) for monitoring forest ecosystems are widely used in various applications. However, continuous monitoring based on optical satellite data can be hampered by atmospheric effects such as clouds. On the contrary, synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data can offer insightful and systematic forest monitoring with complete time series due to signal penetration through clouds and day and night acquisitions. The goal of this work is to overcome the issues affecting optical data with SAR data and serve as a substitute for estimating optical VIs for forests using machine learning. Time series of four VIs (LAI, FAPAR, EVI and NDVI) were estimated using multitemporal Sentinel-1 SAR and ancillary data. This was enabled by creating a paired multi-temporal and multi-modal dataset in Google Earth Engine (GEE), including temporally and spatially aligned Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, digital elevation model (DEM), weather and land cover datasets (MMT-GEE). The use of ancillary features generated from DEM and weather data improved the results. The open-source Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML) approach, auto-sklearn, outperformed Random Forest Regression for three out of four VIs, while a 1-hour optimization length was enough to achieve sufficient results with an R2 of 69-84% low errors (0.05-0.32 of MAE depending on VI). Great agreement was also found for selected case studies in the time series analysis and in the spatial comparison between the original and estimated SAR-based VIs. In general, compared to VIs from currently freely available optical satellite data and available global VI products, a better temporal resolution (up to 240 measurements/year) and a better spatial resolution (20 m) were achieved using estimated SAR-based VIs. A great advantage of the SAR-based VI is the ability to detect abrupt forest changes with a sub-weekly temporal accuracy.

As Artificial Intelligence (AI) continues to advance rapidly, it becomes increasingly important to consider AI's ethical and societal implications. In this paper, we present a bottom-up mapping of the current state of research at the intersection of Human-Centered AI, Ethical, and Responsible AI (HCER-AI) by thematically reviewing and analyzing 164 research papers from leading conferences in ethical, social, and human factors of AI: AIES, CHI, CSCW, and FAccT. The ongoing research in HCER-AI places emphasis on governance, fairness, and explainability. These conferences, however, concentrate on specific themes rather than encompassing all aspects. While AIES has fewer papers on HCER-AI, it emphasizes governance and rarely publishes papers about privacy, security, and human flourishing. FAccT publishes more on governance and lacks papers on privacy, security, and human flourishing. CHI and CSCW, as more established conferences, have a broader research portfolio. We find that the current emphasis on governance and fairness in AI research may not adequately address the potential unforeseen and unknown implications of AI. Therefore, we recommend that future research should expand its scope and diversify resources to prepare for these potential consequences. This could involve exploring additional areas such as privacy, security, human flourishing, and explainability.

A farmer in Niger tends to a tree sprout growing among his millet crop.Tony Rinaudo/World Vision Australia This story was originally published by Yale Environment 360 and is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration. For decades, there have been reports of the deforestation in Africa. And they are true--the continent's forests are disappearing, lost mainly to expanding agriculture, logging, and charcoal-making. Maybe not, according to new satellite data analyzed by artificial intelligence and a growing body of on-the-ground studies. This new research is finding ever more trees outside forests, many of them nurtured by farmers and sprouting on their previously treeless fields.

New technologies and the availability of geospatial data have drawn attention to spatio-temporal biases present in society. For example: the COVID-19 pandemic highlighted disparities in the availability of broadband service and its role in the digital divide; the environmental justice movement in the United States has raised awareness to health implications for minority populations stemming from historical redlining practices; and studies have found varying quality and coverage in the collection and sharing of open-source geospatial data. Despite the extensive literature on machine learning (ML) fairness, few algorithmic strategies have been proposed to mitigate such biases. In this paper we highlight the unique challenges for quantifying and addressing spatio-temporal biases, through the lens of use cases presented in the scientific literature and media. We envision a roadmap of ML strategies that need to be developed or adapted to quantify and overcome these challenges -- including transfer learning, active learning, and reinforcement learning techniques. Further, we discuss the potential role of ML in providing guidance to policy makers on issues related to spatial fairness.

People have recently begun communicating their thoughts and viewpoints through user-generated multimedia material on social networking websites. This information can be images, text, videos, or audio. Recent years have seen a rise in the frequency of occurrence of this pattern. Twitter is one of the most extensively utilized social media sites, and it is also one of the finest locations to get a sense of how people feel about events that are linked to the Monkeypox sickness. This is because tweets on Twitter are shortened and often updated, both of which contribute to the platform's character. The fundamental objective of this study is to get a deeper comprehension of the diverse range of reactions people have in response to the presence of this condition. This study focuses on finding out what individuals think about monkeypox illnesses, which presents a hybrid technique based on CNN and LSTM. We have considered all three possible polarities of a user's tweet: positive, negative, and neutral. An architecture built on CNN and LSTM is utilized to determine how accurate the prediction models are. The recommended model's accuracy was 94% on the monkeypox tweet dataset. Other performance metrics such as accuracy, recall, and F1-score were utilized to test our models and results in the most time and resource-effective manner. The findings are then compared to more traditional approaches to machine learning. The findings of this research contribute to an increased awareness of the monkeypox infection in the general population.